As expectativas para a COP30 em Belém

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1590/s0103-4014.202539114.002

Keywords:

Global warming, COP30, Belem, Marshall Plan, NDC

Abstract

The main objective of the Conference of the Parties (COP) to the Climate Convention, which took place in Baku, Azerbaijan in November 2024, was to update the financial commitments of industrialized countries “to meet the needs of developing countries”. These needs were estimated by the Convention’s Finance Committee at 5 to 7 trillion dollars from 2022 to 2030, i.e. around 455-485 billion dollars a year. COP 29 in Baku adopted a new commitment to invest 300 billion dollars a year by 2035. Applying these resources will not prevent the Earth’s temperature from exceeding 2.6 oC by the end of the century. Additional actions will be essential to prevent the Earth’s temperature from rising by just 1.5 oC, such as a new Marshall Plan to combat global warming or new public policies.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biography

  • José Goldemberg, Universidade de São Paulo, Instituto de Energia e Ambiente, São Paulo, São Paulo, Brasil

    José Goldemberg é físico, professor emérito da Universidade de São Paulo. Foi secretário de Meio Ambiente do estado de São Paulo (2002-2006) e reitor da Universidade de São Paulo (1986-1990). No governo federal, foi secretário de Ciência e Tecnologia (1990-1991) e ministro da Educação (1991-1992).

References

ATHANOSIOU, T. After COP29: The Climate Negotiations Reach Their Crisis. Ecoequity.org, dez/2024. Disponível em: https://fpif.org/after-cop29-the-climate-negotiations-reach-their-crisis/ Acesso em: 27 dez. 2024.

BADLAM, J. et al. The Inflation Reduction Act: Here’s what’s in it. McKinsey & Company, out/2022. Disponível em: https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/mckinsey/industries/public%20and%20social%20sector/our%20insights/the%20inflation%20reduction%20act%20heres%20whats%20in%20it/the-inflation-reduction-act-heres-whats-in-it_final.pdf Acesso em: 27 dez. 2024.

BUCHNER, B. et al. Global Landscape of Climate Finance 2023. Climate Policy Initiative, 2023. Disponível em: https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/pt-br/publication/global-landscape-of-climate-finance-2023/ Acesso em: 29 dez. 2024.

DEESE, B. The Case for a Clean Energy Marshall Plan. Foreign Affairs, Aug. 2024. Disponível em: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/case-clean-energy-marshall-plan-deese Acesso em: 27 dez. 2024.

GOLDEMBERG, J. Trinta anos da Convenção do Clima. Estudos Avançados, v.37, n.107, Jan.-Abr. 2023. Disponível em: https://www.scielo.br/j/ea/a/kzFsgKMJCYxRzqM8FTdsqVw/# Acesso em: 27 dez. 2024.

GOV.BR. G20 Rio de Janeiro Leaders’ Declaration, 2024. Portal Gov.br. Disponível em: https://www.gov.br/planalto/pt-br/media/18-11-2024-declaracao-de-lideres-g20.pdf Acesso em: 27 dez. 2024a.

GOV.BR. Novo PAC, Medidas Institucionais. Portal Gov.br, 2023. Disponível em: https://www.gov.br/casacivil/pt-br/novopac/medidas-institucionais/medidas-institucionais Acesso em: 27 dez. 2024b.

OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development). Climate Finance Provided and Mobilised by Developed Countries in 2013-2022, Climate Finance and the USD 100 Billion Goal. OECD Publishing, Paris. Disponível em: https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/climate-finance-provided-and-mobilised-by-developed-countries-in-2013-2022_19150727-en.html Acesso em: 27 dez. 2024.

RITCHIE, H. et al. Greenhouse Gas Emissions. OurWorldinData.org, 2020. Disponível em: https://ourworldindata.org/greenhouse-gas-emissions Acesso em: 27 dez. 2024.

UNEP (United Nations Environment Programme), Emissions Gap Report, 2024. Unep.org. Disponível em: https://www.unep.org/resources/emissions-gap-report-2024 Acesso em: 27 dez. 2024.

UNFCCC (UN Framework Convention on Climate Change). Second report on the determination of the needs of developing country Parties related to implementing the Convention and the Paris Agreement, 2024. Disponível em: https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/UNFCCC_NDR2_ES_Web_Final.pdf Acesso em : 30 dez. 2024a.

UNFCCC (UN Framework Convention on Climate Change). End Fossil Finance. Earth Negotiations Bulletin. Baku, Nov. 2024. Disponível em: https://enb.iisd.org/baku-un-climate-change-conference-cop29-23Nov2024 Acesso em: 27 dez. 2024b.

WIKIPEDIA. Marshall Plan. Disponível em: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marshall_Plan Acesso em: 27 dez. 2024.

WORLD BANK, State and Trends of Carbon Pricing, 2024. World Bank. Disponível em: https://hdl.handle.net/10986/41544 Acesso em: 27 dez. 2024.

Published

2025-09-09

How to Cite

Goldemberg, J. (2025). As expectativas para a COP30 em Belém. Estudos Avançados, 39(114), e39114003. https://doi.org/10.1590/s0103-4014.202539114.002