Os impactos ambientais industriais da alca no Brasil

Abstract

This study is an attempt to estimate the industrial environmental impacts due to FTAA in Brazil. Based on these CGE model results from Tourinho and Kume (2002), we estimate the resulting changes of pollution emission and water and energy use levels in the Brazilian industrial sector due to FTAA. Our results are very interesting since economy-aggregate direct environmental impacts of FTAA on the Brazilian economy are expected to be, in general, very minor and in the direction of a lower air pollution intensity (paniculate and SO2) and energy uses. Flowever, it is expected an increasing intensity in water pollution and uses and CO2 emissions. These changes will occur in few sectors where already exist dynamic technological and environmental policies and motivation to meet export market stricter environmental rules.