How do labor market conditions influence the transition from unemployment to employment?
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.11606/1980-5330/ea147827Keywords:
unemployment duration, business cycleAbstract
This paper analyzes the unemployment duration in Brazil between 2012 and 2017, comparing two very different points in time. There was substantial disparity in labor market conditions over the period investigated.
The period 2012-2013 had low unemployment rates, whereas the unemployment rate reached high levels in the period 2016-2017. According to estimates, high levels of unemployment are associated with a lower
probability of finding a job. The results also show that reductions in the rates of transition from unemployment to better jobs are more accentuated
than those related to low quality jobs during recessions.
Downloads
References
Abras, A. L. & Felício, F. (2005). Duração e taxa de saída do desemprego: evidências de ausência de dependência na duração para as Regiões Metropolitanas do Brasil (1984-2000). In: Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de
Economia. Natal: ANPEC.
Arulampalam, W. & Stewart, M. B. (1995). The determinants of individual unemployment durations in an era of high unemployment. Economic Journal, Oxford, v. 105, p. 321-332.
Bover, O., Arellano, M. & Bentolila, S. (2002). Unemployment duration, benefit duration and the business cycle. Economic Journal, Oxford, v. 112, p. 223-265.
Brasil (2010). Classificação Brasileira de Ocupações: CBO-2010. Brasília: Ministério do Trabalho e Emprego.
Cox, D. R. (1972). Regression models and life-tables. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological), Hoboken, v. 34, p. 187-202.
Cox, D. R. (1975). Partial likelihood. Biometrika, Oxford, v. 62, p. 269-276.
Farber, H. S. (1999). Alternative and part-time employment arrangements as a response to job loss. Journal of Labor Economics, Chicago, v. 17, p. S142-S169.
Farber, H. S. (2015). Job loss in the Great Recession and its aftermath: US evidence from the displaced workers survey. Cambridge: National Bureau of Economic Research. (Working Paper n. 21216).
Farber, H. S. (2017). Employment, hours, and earnings consequences of job loss: U.S. evidence from the displaced workers survey. Journal of Labor Economics, Chicago, v. 35, p. S235-S272.
Imbens, Guido W e Lynch, L. M. (2006). Re-employment probabilities over the business cycle. Portuguese Economic Journal, Lisboa, v. 5, p. 111-134.
Kroft, K., Lange, F., Notowidigdo, M. J. & Katz, L. F. (2016). Long-term unemployment and the Great Recession: the role of composition, duration dependence, and nonparticipation. Journal of Labor Economics, Chicago, v. 34, p. S7-S54.
Lynch, L. M. (1989). The youth labor market in the eighties: determinants of re-employment probabilities for young men and women. Review of Economics and Statistics, Cambridge, v. 71, p. 37-45.
Maloney,W. F. (2004). Informality revisited. World Development, Amsterdam, v. 32, p. 1159-1178.
Menezes-Filho, N. A. & Picchetti, P. (2000). Os determinantes da duração do desemprego em São Paulo. Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, Rio de Janeiro, v. 30, p. 23-48.
Meyer, B. D. (1990). Unemployment insurance and unemployment spells. Econometrica, New Haven, v. 58, p. 757-782.
Mortensen, D. T. (1970). Job search, the duration of unemployment, and the Phillips curve. American Economic Review, Nashville, v. 60, p. 847–862.
Reis, M. (2015). Uma análise da transição dos jovens para o primeiro emprego no Brasil. Revista Brasileira de Economia, Rio de Janeiro, v. 69, p. 125-143.
Reis, M. C. (2017). Educational mismatch and labor earnings in Brazil. International Journal of Manpower, Bingley, v. 38, p. 180-197.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2022 Economia Aplicada

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.