Valuation of companies in Brazil through discounted cash flow: empirical evidences from the point of view of value drivers in public offerings of shares acquisition

Abstract

The objective of the survey is to investigate and evaluate whether the projections of economic-financial performance done by Brazilian companies in valuation reports, are, on average, cohesive throughout time. A collection of 10 variables was established, which evidences the financial strategies performance developed by the companies for the creation of value in the projections and compared to those realized in the period between 2002 and 2008, throughout up two periods after the valuation process. For the realization of the tests on the established hypotheses it was carried out tests of measures, with the application of the t-Student parametric test or the non-parametric Wilcoxon. The results show that the projection averages in relation to what was performed are cohesive statistically for the five variables. On the other hand, five variables showed significant differences in the averages. The sectors of chemical products, railroads, and textiles among those analyzed were the ones that more often presented significant differences in the averages. In the comparison by periods, significant differences in the averages appeared in the variables: margins (operating and Ebitda); evolution of net profit and investment rate.