Analysis of the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on maternal mortality trends, 2011–2021
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1590/1518-8345.7559.4669Keywords:
Maternal Death; COVID-19; Maternal Health; Obstetrics; Epidemiologic Methods; Health Surveillance SystemAbstract
Objective: to analyze the time-series trend for maternal mortality before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Method: ecological time-series study in the state of São Paulo and in its seventeen Regional Health Departments. Collection of secondary data provided by the Ministry of Health. Study variables: total, direct and indirect maternal mortality ratios. Analysis was performed by segmented regression model. Results: maternal mortality ratio trends were stationary in 2011–2019, followed by a 25.6% increase in 2019–2021. The direct maternal mortality ratio had an upward trend of 7.2% in 2011–2017 and a stationary trend in 2017–2021. The indirect maternal mortality ratio was stationary in 2011–2019, followed by a 70.5% increase in 2019–2021. The regional health departments of the Metropolitan Area of São Paulo, Araçatuba, Bauru, Campinas, Presidente Prudente, São João da Boa Vista, São José do Rio Preto and Sorocaba showed an upward trend for maternal mortality in 2011–2021. Conclusion: the COVID-19 pandemic severely influenced the increase in maternal mortality, especially from indirect causes, with 2021 being the worst year in the time series. The findings were important to assist in the organization of maternal mortality reduction strategies by directing them to priority areas.
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