Análise do mercado brasileiro de papel e papelão

Abstract

The structural relations of Brazilian paper and paperboard market were specified and estimated in this work. Dynamic models were estimated for total supply, domestic and export demands. In the paper and paperboard supply, price elasticities of 0.75 and 3.06 were obtained in the short and long runs, respectively. In domestic demand,  price elasticities were of -0.58 and -0.12 and  income elasticities were of 1.19 and 2.31 in the short and long runs, respectively. In export demand,  price-elasticities were of -0.69 and -1.04 and income elasticities were of 1.67 and 2.51 in the short and long runs, respectively.  It was concluded that both domestic and export demands are more affected by changes in income than by changes in product prices. Total supply, domestic and export demand are inelastic, in the short run, and elastic in the long run, in relation to own-price.