Bigger ships in the world, one more challenge for Brazil: an analysis about the national dredging program
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1590/0101-41614816175lmfKeywords:
Ports, Dredging, Synthetic controlAbstract
The cargo ships have grown in size, while there was a lacking of maintaining of the Brazilian waterways. Therefore, it is common wait the rising tide to safely conduct the ships, which implies in demurrage costs. The article analyzes the impact of the National Dredging Program, which aims to mitigate the problem. Using the methodology of synthetic controls to model the ship handling in 11 ports treated, with 24 comparative units, we met indicatives that the program caused impact on 4 of them. The conclusion is that the program is strategic for foreign trade, but needs to be improved.
Downloads
References
Abadie, A. and J. Gardeazabal. 2003. “The Economic Costs of Conflict: A Case Study of the Basque Country”. The American Economic Review 93(1): 113-132, jstor.org/ stable/3132164.
Abadie, A., A. Diamond, and J. Hainmueller. 2010. “Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California’s Tobacco Control Program”. Journal of the American Statistical Association 105(490): 493-505, jstor.org/ stable/29747059.
Abadie, A., A. Diamond, and J. Hainmueller. 2011. “Synth: An R Package for Synthetic Control Methods in Comparative Case Studies”. Journal of Statistical Software 42(13): 1-17, web.stanford.edu/~jhain/Paper/JSS2011.pdf.
Abadie, A., A. Diamond, and J. Hainmueller. 2015. “Comparative Politics and the Synthetic Control Method”. American Journal of Political Science 59(2): 495-510, onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ajps.12116/epdf.
Akabane, G., and M. Gonc¸ alves. 2008. “ A importância do modelo de autoridade portuária como opção no planejamento logístico”. Revista Brasileira de Estratégia 1(1): 19-28, http://www2.pucpr.br/reol/pb/index.php/rebrae?dd1=2076&dd99=view&dd98=pb.
Albertijn, S., W. Bessler, and W. Drobetz. 2011. “Financing Shipping Companies and Shipping Operations: A Risk-Management Perspective”. Journal of Applied Corporate Finance 23(4): 70–82, onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1745-6622. 2011.00353.x/pdf.
ANTAQ, 2015. Relatório de desempenho portuário de 2015. Agência Nacional de Transporte Aquaviários, http://www.antaq.gov.br/portal/DesempenhoPortuario.
Athey, Susan and Guido Imbens. 2016. The State of Applied Econometrics – Causality and Policy Evaluation. Mimeo, Cornel University, https://arxiv.org/abs/1607.00699.
Bernhofen, D., Z. El-Sahli, and R. Kneller. 2016. “Estimating the effects of the container revolution on world trade”. Journal of International Economics 98:36-50, http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199615001403.
Britto, P. et al. 2015. “Promoção da concorrência no setor portuário: uma análise a partir dos modelos mundiais e aplicação ao caso brasileiro”. Revista de Administração Pública 49(1): 47-71, scielo.br/pdf/rap/v49n1/ 0034-7612-rap-49-01-00047.pdf.
Campos Neto, C. et al. 2009. “Gargalos e demandas da infraestrutura portuária e os investimentos do PAC: mapeamentos IPEA de obras portuárias”. Texto para Discussão, IPEA, 1423, ipea.gov.br/portal/images/stories/PDFs/TDs/td_1423.pdf.
Carvalho, A. et al. 2015. “Caracterização do Fluxo de Cargas e Indicadores de Concorrência entre os Portos Brasileiros”. Texto para Discussão, IPEA 2091, ipea.gov.br/portal/images/stories/PDFs/ TDs/td_2091.pdf.
Castro, S. and J. Almeida. 2012. “Dragagem e conflitos ambientais em portos clássicos e modernos: uma revisão”. Sociedade & Natureza 24(3): 519-534, www.scielo.br/pdf/sn/v24n3/v24n3a11.pdf.
CODESP. 2009. “Plano de Desenvolvimento e Expansão do Porto de Santos”. Companhia Docas do Estado de São Paulo, relatório do empréstimo ATN/OC-10694-BR junto ao Banco Interamericano de Desenvolvimento, BID, portosdobrasil.gov.br/assuntos-1/ relacoes-internacionais/arquivos/relatorio-final-plano-diretor-bid.pdf.
Cortez, L. C. S. et al. 2013. “Análise de eficiência na gestão de portos públicos brasileiros em relação ao papel das autoridades portuárias”. Journal of Transport Literature 7(2): 78-96, scielo.br/pdf/jtl/ v7n2/v7n2a05.pdf.
Cullinane, K. and Khanna, M. 1999. “ Economies of Scale in Large Container Ships”. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy 33(2): 185-207, jstor.org/stable/ 20053805.
Cullinane, K. and Khanna, M. 2000. “Economies of scale in large containerships: optimal size and geographical implications”. Journal of Transport Geography 8:181-195, sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0966692300000107.
Fadda, E. A. 2012. “Instrumentos legais aplicados à dragagem no Brasil. Revista Direito Aduaneiro, Marítimo e Portuários”. Revista Direito Aduaneiro, Marítimo e Portuários 06, Grupo IOB, antaq.gov.br/portal/Pdf/PublicacoesTecnicas/ArtigoElianeFadda. pdf.
Goularti Filho, A. 2007. “Melhoramentos, reaparelhamentos e modernização dos portos brasileiros: a longa e constante espera”. Economia e Sociedade 16(3): 455-489, scielo.br/pdf/ecos/v16n3/07.
Gertler, Paul J. et al. 2016. Impact evaluation in practice, World Bank Publications, https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/25030.
Grammenos, Costas. 2013. The handbook of maritime economics and business, Taylor & Francis, ISBN 9781135134068.
Hornok, C.; Koren, M. 2015. “Per-shipment costs and the lumpiness of international trade”. Review of Economics and Statistics 9: 525-530, http://www.mitpressjournals. org/doi/abs/10.1162/REST_a_00468.
Hummels, D. 2007. “Transportation Costs and International Trade in the Second Era of Globalization”. The Journal of Economic Perspectives 21(3): 131-154, jstor.org/ stable/30033762.
Imai, A.; E. Nishimura; S. Papadimitriou, and M. Liu. 2006. “The economic viability of container mega-ships”. Transportation Research 42: 21-41, sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1366554504000584.
IPEA. 2010. “Infraestrutura Econômica no Brasil: diagnósticos e perspectivas para 2025”. Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, livro 6(1), http://repositorio.ipea. gov.br/bitstream/11058/3210/1/Livro6_InfraestruturaSocial_vol1.pdf.
Khandker, S.; G. Koolwal, and H. Samad. 2010. Handbook on Impact Evaluation: Quantitative Methods and Practices, The World Bank, Washington DC, openknowledge. worldbank.org/handle/10986/2693.
Levinson, Marc. 2013. The box: How the Shipping Container Made the World Smaller and the World Economy Bigger. EGEA spa, ISBN 978140082858.
Marchetti, D. and T. Ferreira. 2014. “Situação atual e perspectivas da infraestrutura de transportes e da logística no Brasil”. Perspectivas Setoriais, BNDES 235, bndes.gov.br/ SiteBNDES/export/sites/default/bndes_pt/Galerias/
Arquivos/conhecimento/livro60anos_perspectivas_setoriais/Setorial60anos_VOL2Logistica.pdf
Menegazzo, L. R. and A. L. Fachinello. 2014. “Análise de nível de eficiência dos portos brasileiros”. Revista de Economia 40(3): 173-197, revistas.ufpr.br/economia/article/view/42419.
Notteboom, T. 2004. “Container Shipping And Ports: An Overview”. Review of Network Economics 3(2): 86-106, vliz.be/imisdocs/publications/278392.pdf.
Pascali, Luigi. 2017. “ The wind of change: Maritime technology, trade and economic development”, American Economic Review (forthcoming), https://www.aeaweb.org/ journals/aer/forthcoming.
Rodrigues, Paulo Roberto A. 2008. Introdução aos sistemas de transporte no Brasil e à logística internacional. Edições Aduaneiras, ISBN 9788571294905.
Rubin, D. 2005. Causal Inference Using Potential Outcomes: Design, Modeling, Decisions. Journal of the American Statistical Association 100(469): 322-331, jstor.org/ stable/27590541.
Schwab, K., and Sala-I-Mart´In, X. 2014. “ The Global Competitiveness Report 2014- 2015, Full Data Edition”, World Economic Forum, http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_ GlobalCompetitivenessReport_2014-15.pdf.
SEP. 2015. Plano Nacional de Logística Portuária, Secretaria dos Portos da Presidência da República, SEP, http://www.portosdobrasil.gov.br/assuntos-1/pnpl/ plano-nacional-de-logistica-portuaria.
Talley, W. 2000. “Ocean Container Shipping: Impacts of a Technological Improvement”. Journal of Economic Issues 34(4): 933-948, tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/ 00213624.2000.11506322.
TCU. 2014. Relatório Técnico do Processo TC 009.504/2013-3. Tribunal de Contas da União (TCU), http://www.tcu.gov.br/Consultas/Juris/Docs/judoc/Acord/20140402/AC_0735_09_14_P.doc.
Torres, R. et al. 2009. “Effects of dredging operations on sediment quality: contaminant mobilization in dredged sediments from the Port of Santos, SP, Brazil”. Journal of Soils and Sediments 9(5): 420–432, link.springer.com/article/10.1007/ s11368-009-0121-x.
Tran, N., and Haasis, H. 2015. “An empirical study of fleet expansion and growth of shipsize in container linershipping”. International Journal of Production Economics 159: 241-253, sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0925527314002941.
UNCTAD. 2015. Review of Maritime Transport. United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, Genebra, Su´ıc¸a, unctad.org/en/PublicationsLibrary/rmt2015_en.pdf.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2018 Luciano Menegazzo, Francis Petterini
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
By submitting an article, the author authorizes its publication and attests that it has not been submitted to any other journal. The original article is considered final. Articles selected for publication are proofread for grammatical and orthographic errors. The journal does not pay rights for published articles. The Institute of Economic Research from the School of Economics, Business and Accounting of the University of São Paulo (Instituto de Pesquisas Econômicas da Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade da Universidade de São Paulo) owns the journal's copyright.
