Irreversibilidade, incerteza e teoria econômica reflexões a respeito do indeterminismo metodológico e de suas aplicações na ciência econômica
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0101-41612004000400006Keywords:
ergodicity, irreversibility, methodological indeterminismAbstract
The objective of this paper is to apply the methodological principle of indeterminism to the Economic Science. This implies the definition of two kinds of economic universes: one characterized by ergodicity and by the reversibility of time and economic processes, and the other by the opposite properties. The first part will deal with the construction of the subject of study and the nature of the proper analysis to these two universes. Taking such dicotomy into account, the second part will examine its implications as regards the nature of probabilities and the guiding processes of the agent's decisions.Downloads
References
AKERLOF, G. The market for "lemons": qualitative uncertainty and the market mechanism. Quartely Journal of Economics, p. 89, Aug. 1970.
ARNOUX, Pierre; CHEMLA, Karine. Systèmes dynamiques et théorie ergodique. In: DALMEDICO, A. Dahan; CHABERT, J. L.;
CHEMLA, K. (orgs.), Chaos et déterminisme. Paris: Edition Du Seuil, Paris, 1992.
ARON, Raymon. Leçons sur l'histoire. Cours du Collège de France. Paris: Editions de Fallois, 1989.
ARROW, Kenneth J. De la rationalité de soi et des autres dans un système économique. In: GRANGER, Thierry (ed.), Théorie de l´information et des organisations. Paris: Dunod, 2000.
GRANGER, Thierry (ed.). Potentialités et limites du marché dans l´allocation des resources.
In: GRANGER, Thierry (ed.), Théorie de l´information et des organisations, op. cit.
GRANGER, Thierry (ed.). Limited knowledge and economic analysis. American Economic
Review, March 1974.
ASIMAKOPOULOS, A. Keynes´s general theory and accumulation. Modern Cambridge Economics, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1991.
BARTOLI, Henri. L´économie multidimensionnelle. Paris: Economica, 1991.
BAUMOL, W. J. Contestable markets: an uprising in the theory of industry structure. American Economic Review, v. 72, n. 1, 1982.
BAUMOL W. J.; BENHABIB, J. Chaos: significance, mechanism, and economic applications. Journal of Economic Perspectives, v. 3, n. 1, 1989.
BUENO, Newton Paulo. Um modelo de histerese institucional para a análise da política industrial brasileira. Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, Rio de Janeiro, v. 26, n. 2, p. 333-348, agosto de 1996.
CARDIM DE CARVALHO, Fernando. On the concept of time in Shacklean and Sraffian economics. Journal of Post-keynesian Economics, Cambridge, v. VI, n. 2, Winter 1983-84.
CHICK, V.; DOW, S. Formalism, logic and reality: a Keynesian analysis. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 25, p. 705-721, 2001.
DALMEDICO, Amy Dahan. Le déterminisme de Pierre-Simon Laplace et le déterminisme aujourd´hui. In: DALMEDICO, A. Dahan;
CHABERT, J. L.; CHEMLA, K. (orgs.), Chaos et déterminisme. Paris: Edition Du Seuil, 1992.
DAVIDSON, Paul. Reality and economic theory. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, v. 18, n. 4, p. 501, Summer 1996.
DEQUECH, David. Incerteza num sentido forte: significado e fontes. In: LIMA, G. T.; SICSÚ, J.; PAULA, L. F. de (orgs.), Macroeconomia
moderna. Keynes e a economia contemporânea. Rio de Janeiro: Editora Campus, 1999.
DUMÉNIL, G.; LÉVY, D. The dynamics of competition: a restoration of the classical análisis. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 11, p. 133-164, 1987.
DUMÉNIL, G.; LÉVY, D. Desequilíbrio e estabilidade: proporções e dimensão. Revista
Perspectiva Econômica, Vitória: Departamento de Economia da UFES, Ano II, v. I, n. 1, Fevereiro de 2001.
ECKMANN, Jean-Pierre. Mesure dans un système chaotique. In: DALMEDICO, A. Dahan; CHABERT, J. L.; CHEMLA, K. (orgs.), Chaos et déterminisme. Paris: Edition Du Seuil, 1992.
FAVEREAU, Olivier. L´incertain dans la révolution keynésienne: l´hypothèse Wittgesnstein. Economie et Sociétés, Cahiers de l´ISMEA, Paris, série PE n. 3, 1985.
FRIEDMAN, Milton. A theorical framework for monetray analysis. In: GORDON, R. J. (ed.), Milton Friedman's monetary framework: a debate with his critics. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1974.
GEORGESCU-ROEGEN, Nicholas. The enthropy law and the economic process. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press, 1971.
HARRIS, Donald. On the classical theory of competition. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 12, p. 139-167, 1988.
HERSCOVICI, Alain. Processo de gravitação e revoluções do valor: algumas observações metodológicas e epistemológicas. Estudos Econômicos, São Paulo, v. 30, n. 2, p. 301-329, abr.-jun. 2000a.
HERSCOVICI, Alain. A dinâmica concorrencial: elementos para a construção de uma
microeconomia heterodoxa. In: Seminário: A situação atual da microeconomia. Uma perpectiva metodológica, Curitiba, 2000b.
HERSCOVICI, Alain. Preço, mercado e entropia. In: Anais do VI Encontro Nacional de Economia Política, São Paulo, 2001.
HERSCOVICI, Alain. Dinâmica macroeconômica: uma interpretação a partir de Marx e
de Keynes. São Paulo: EDUC/EDUFES, 2002a.
HERSCOVICI, Alain. Economia do desequilíbrio, sistema de preços e instituições. Elementos
de análise. Porto Alegre, Revista Ensaios FEE, v. 23 n. 1, 2002b.
HERSCOVICI, Alain. Historicidade, entropia e não linearidade: algumas aplicações na
ciência econômica. Anais do XXXI Encontro Nacional de Economia, ANPEC, Porto Seguro, Bahia, 2003.
HERSCOVICI, Alain. Economia da informação, redes eletrônicas e regulação: elementos
de análise. Revista de Economia Política, São Paulo, v. 24, n. 1, p. 95-114, 2004.
HODGSON, Geoffrey M. The approach of institutional economics. Journal of Economic Litterature, v. 36, Issue 1, March 1998.
ISRAËL, Giorgio. L´histoire du principe du déterminisme et ses rencontres avec les mathématiques. In: DALMEDICO, A. Dahan; CHABERT, J. L.; CHEMLA, K. (orgs.), Chaos et déterminisme. Paris: Edition Du Seuil, 1992.
JEVONS, W. S. The theory of political economy. 2 ed. Baltimore: Penguin, 1970.
KEYNES, J. M. A teoria geral do emprego, do juro e da moeda. São Paulo: Atlas, 1990.
KEYNES, J. M. Treatise on probabilities. In: Collected writtings of J. M. Keynes. V.
VIII. London: Mac Millan and Cambridge University Press, 1926.
KIRMAN, Alan. Information et prix. In: PETIT, Pascal (org.), L'economie de l'information. Paris: La Découverte, 1998.
KNIGHT, F. H. Risk, uncertainty and profit. Chicago: Chicago Press University, 1921.
LAVIALLE, Cristophe. Légitimité du discours classique et légitimation de la théorie générale. L´espistémologie pragmatiste de Keynes. In: La légitimation du discours économique. Sciences de la Société n. 55, Toulouse: Presses Universitaires du Mirail, 2002.
MODIGLIANI F. The monetarist controversy, or should we forsake stabilization policies? American Economic Review, v. 67, n. 2, March 1977.
POSSAS, Mário. A cheia do mainstream. Comentários sobre os rumos da ciência econômica. Texto para discussão, Rio de Janeiro: UFRJ/IEI, 1995.
POPPER, Karl. Misère de l’historicisme. Paris: Presses Pocket, 1988.
POPPER, Karl. A lógica da pesquisa científica. São Paulo: Editora Cultrix, 1992.
PRIGOGINE, Ilya. La fin des certitudes. Paris: Editions Odile Jacob, 1996.
PRIGOGINE, I.; STENGERS I. Order out of chaos: man´s new dialogue with nature. London: Heinemann, 1984.
RUNDE Jochen. Clarifying Frank Knight´s discussion of the meaning of risk and uncertainty. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 22, p. 539-546, 1998.
SARGENT, T .J.; WALLACE, N. Rational expectations and the theory of economic policy. In: LUCAS JR., R. E.; SARGENT, T. J. (eds.),
Rational expectations and econometric practice. Minneapolis: The University of Minnesota Press, 1976.
SAVAGE, Leonard. The foundations of statistics. New York: Wiley, 1954.
SINAÏ, Yakov G. L´aléatoire du non-aléatoire. In: DALMEDICO, A. Dahan; CHABERT, J. L.; CHEMLA, K. (orgs.), Chaos et déterminisme. Paris: Edition Du Seuil, 1992.
SHACKLE, G. L. S. Expectations in economics. Cambridge: The University Press, 1952.
TOBIN, J. Liquidity preference and behaviour towards risk. Review of Economic
Studies, v. 5, February 1958.
VERCELLI, Alessandro. Preferência pela liquidez e valor da opção. Economia e Sociedade, Campinas, n. 12, junho 1999.
VERCELLI, Alessandro. Para uma macroeconomia não reducionista: uma perspectiva de
longo prazo. Economia e Sociedade, Campinas: IE/UNICAMP, 3, dezembro de 1994.
VERCELLI, Alessandro. Keynes, Schumpeter, Marx and the structural instability of capitalism.
In: DELEPLACE, G.; MAURISSON, P. (orgs.), L’hétérodoxie dans la pensée économique. Paris: Cahiers d’Economie Politique, Anthropos, 1985.
VERCELLI, Alessandro. Methodological foundations of macroeconomics: Keynes and Lucas.
Cambridge University Press, 1991.
VICARELLI, Fausto. Equilibre et probabilités: une réinterprétation des fondements méthodologiques de la Théorie Générale. In: BARRÈRE, Alain (org.), Keynes aujourd´hui: théories et politiques. Paris: Economica, 1985.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2004 Alain Herscovici
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
By submitting an article, the author authorizes its publication and attests that it has not been submitted to any other journal. The original article is considered final. Articles selected for publication are proofread for grammatical and orthographic errors. The journal does not pay rights for published articles. The Institute of Economic Research from the School of Economics, Business and Accounting of the University of São Paulo (Instituto de Pesquisas Econômicas da Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade da Universidade de São Paulo) owns the journal's copyright.
