The effects of conditional cash transfer programmes on adult labour supply: an empirical analysis using a time-series-cross-section sample of Brazilian municipalities
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0101-41612010000200001Keywords:
social programmes, labour supply, panel dataAbstract
In this paper, we estimate the effects of the Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) programmes in Brazil on the labour supply of adult males and females. We employ the panel of municipalities that are continuously investigated by the Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios (PNAD/IBGE) over the years 2001-2005. The effects of the Brazilian CCT programmes are estimated both on the participation rate and the mean number of hours worked. Since PNAD does not ask directly surveyed families about CCT programme participation, we use an indirect procedure to identify beneficiary families. Our results indicate that the effects of interest are not significant both on statistical grounds and in terms of magnitude.
Downloads
References
Arellano , M.; Bond, S. R. Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. Review of Economic Studies, 58, p. 277-297, 1991.
Barros, R. P.; Carvalho, M.; S. Franco , S. O papel das transferências públicas na queda recente da desigualdade de renda brasileira. In: Barros, R. P. de; Foguel, M. N.; Ulyssea , G. (Eds.). Desigualdade de renda no Brasil: uma análise da queda recente. Brasília: Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, 2007. v. 2, p. 41-86.
Blundell , R.; Macurd y, T. Labor supply: a review of alternative approaches. In: Ashenfelter , O.; Card, D. (Ed.). Handbook of labor economics. Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 1999. v. 3, p. 1559-1695.
CEDEPLAR. Projeto de avaliação do impacto do Bolsa Família - Relatório analítico
final. CEDEPLAR, 2006. Mimeo.
Deaton , A. Panel data from time serie of cross-sections. Journal of Econometrics,
, p. 109-126, 1985.
Ferro, A. R.; Nicollela , A. C. The impact of conditional cash transfer programs
on household work decisions in Brazil. São Paulo: Universidade de São Paulo,
Mimeo.
Fuller , W. A. Measurement error models. Wiley series in probability and statistics.
USA: John Wiley and Sons, 1987.
Handa , S.; Davis, B. The experience of conditional cash transfers in Latin America
and the Caribbean. Development Policy Review, 24, p. 513-536, 2006.
Killingsworth , M. R. Labor supply. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1983.
Medeiros, M.; Britto, T.; Soares , F. Programas focalizados de transferência de renda no Brasil: contribuições para o debate. Brasília: Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, 2007. (Texto para Discussão, 1283).
Parker, S. W.; Skoufias , E. The impact of Progresa on work, leisure, and time allocation. International Food Policy Research Institute, 2000. (Final report) Ravallion, M.; Wodon, Q. Does child labor displace schooling? Economic Journal, v.110, p. C158-C175, 2000.
Rawlings , L. B.; Rubio, G. M. Evaluating the impact of conditional cash transfer
programs. World Bank, Policy Research, 2003. (Working Paper 3119).
Rawlings , L. B.; Rubio, G. M. Evaluating the impact of conditional cash transfer programs. World Bank Research Observer, 20, p. 29-55, 2005.
Reis, M. C.; Camargo, J. M. Impactos da aposentadoria e pensões sobre a educação
e participação dos jovens na força de trabalho. Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, 37, p. 221-246, 2007.
Silva, P. L. N.; Pessoa , D. G. C.; Lila , M. F. Análise estatística de dados da PNAD: incorporando a estrutura do plano amostral. Ciência e Saúde Coletiva, 7, p. 659-670, 2002.
Soares , F.; Soares , S.; Medeiros, M.; Osório, R. Programas de transferência de renda no Brasil: impactos sobre a desigualdade. In: Barros, R. P. de; Foguel, M. N.; Ulyssea , G. (Ed.). Desigualdade de renda no Brasil: uma análise da queda recente. Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, 2008. v. 2, cap. 17, p. 87-129.
Soares , S.; Osório, R.; Soares , F.; Medeiros, M.; Zepeda , E. Conditional cash transfers in Brazil, Chile and Mexico: impacts upon inequality. International Poverty Center, 2007. (Working Paper 35).
Tavares, P. A. Efeito do programa bolsa família sobre a oferta de trabalho das mães. In: Encontro Nacional de Economia, 36, 2008, Salvador. Anais... ANPEC, 2008.
Windmeijer, F. A finite sample correction for the variance of linear efficient twostep GMM estimators. Journal of Econometrics, 126, p. 25-51, 2005.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2010 Miguel Nathan Foguel, Ricardo Paes de Barros
![Creative Commons License](http://i.creativecommons.org/l/by-nc/4.0/88x31.png)
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
By submitting an article, the author authorizes its publication and attests that it has not been submitted to any other journal. The original article is considered final. Articles selected for publication are proofread for grammatical and orthographic errors. The journal does not pay rights for published articles. The Institute of Economic Research from the School of Economics, Business and Accounting of the University of São Paulo (Instituto de Pesquisas Econômicas da Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade da Universidade de São Paulo) owns the journal's copyright.